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Political Tracker

Federal electorate · House of Representatives · NSW

Cowper

Current member

Pat Conaghan, National Party

Won at the 2025 federal election
Nationals
Pat Conaghan, re-elected
Margin after preferences
2.5 pts
A marginal seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far

Next federal election

Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.

No candidates have been announced for Cowper yet.

Sitting member

Pat Conaghan (National Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.

Where Cowper is

Boundary used at the 2025 federal election, from the ABS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

2025 federal election result

Bar colours show each candidate's party.

First preferences

2025 federal election result, first preferences

Pat Conaghan (NAT)Elected40,836 votes,37.9%
Caz Heise (IND)31,616 votes,29.4%
Greg Vigors (ALP)12,713 votes,11.8%
Chris Walsh (ONP)6,856 votes,6.4%
Megan Mathew (LC)5,210 votes,4.8%
Wendy Firefly (GRN)4,552 votes,4.2%
Peter Jackel (FF)1,851 votes,1.7%
Geoffrey Shannon (TP)1,551 votes,1.4%
Paul Templeton (LBT)1,403 votes,1.3%
Zeke Daley (IND)892 votes,0.8%
Geoffrey Marlow (F|PR)255 votes,0.2%

Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.

After preferences (two-candidate preferred)

52.5%47.5%
Pat Conaghan (NAT)Caz Heise (IND)

The vertical line marks 50%.

Margin 2.5 pts (Nationals): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.

Results as a table
CandidatePartyVotesFirst pref.Swing
Pat ConaghanThe Nationals40,83637.90%-1.6 pts
Caz HeiseIndependent31,61629.35%+3.2 pts
Greg VigorsLabor12,71311.80%-2.2 pts
Chris WalshPauline Hanson's One Nation6,8566.36%-1.8 pts
Megan MathewLegalise Cannabis Party5,2104.84%+4.8 pts
Wendy FireflyThe Greens4,5524.23%-1.6 pts
Peter JackelFamily First1,8511.72%+1.7 pts
Geoffrey ShannonTrumpet of Patriots1,5511.44%+1.4 pts
Paul TempletonLibertarian1,4031.30%+1.3 pts
Zeke DaleyIndependent8920.83%+0.8 pts
Geoffrey MarlowFUSION | Planet Rescue | Whistleblower Protection | Innovation2550.24%+0.2 pts

Source: Australian Electoral Commission