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Political Tracker

Federal electorate · House of Representatives · NSW

Dobell

Current member

Emma McBride, Australian Labor Party

Won at the 2025 federal election
Labor
Emma McBride, re-elected
Margin after preferences
9.4 pts
A fairly safe seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far

Next federal election

Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.

No candidates have been announced for Dobell yet.

Sitting member

Emma McBride (Australian Labor Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.

Where Dobell is

Boundary used at the 2025 federal election, from the ABS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

2025 federal election result

Bar colours show each candidate's party.

First preferences

2025 federal election result, first preferences

Emma McBride (ALP)Elected44,268 votes,42.8%
Brendan Small (LIB)28,757 votes,27.8%
Simon George Cooper (GRN)10,647 votes,10.3%
Martin Stevenson (ONP)9,040 votes,8.7%
Tim Claydon (LC)4,895 votes,4.7%
Anthony Tawaf (TP)2,855 votes,2.8%
Patrick Murphy (AJ)1,906 votes,1.8%
Isaac Chalik (LBT)1,059 votes,1.0%

Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.

After preferences (two-candidate preferred)

59.4%40.6%
Emma McBride (ALP)Brendan Small (LIB)

The vertical line marks 50%.

Margin 9.4 pts (Labor): fairly safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.

Results as a table
CandidatePartyVotesFirst pref.Swing
Emma McBrideLabor44,26842.80%-0.1 pts
Brendan SmallLiberal28,75727.80%-5.9 pts
Simon George CooperThe Greens10,64710.29%+1.7 pts
Martin StevensonPauline Hanson's One Nation9,0408.74%+1.3 pts
Tim ClaydonLegalise Cannabis Party4,8954.73%+4.7 pts
Anthony TawafTrumpet of Patriots2,8552.76%+2.8 pts
Patrick MurphyAnimal Justice Party1,9061.84%+1.8 pts
Isaac ChalikLibertarian1,0591.02%+1.0 pts

Source: Australian Electoral Commission