Federal electorate · House of Representatives · VIC
Dunkley
Current member
Jodie Belyea, Australian Labor Party
Won at the 2025 federal election
Labor
Jodie Belyea, re-elected
Margin after preferences
7.1 pts
A fairly safe seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far
Next federal election
Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.
No candidates have been announced for Dunkley yet.
Sitting member
Jodie Belyea (Australian Labor Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.
Where Dunkley is
2025 federal election result
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
2025 federal election result, first preferences
Nathan Conroy (LIB)35,288 votes,32.3%swing +0.6
Matt Maber (GRN)12,649 votes,11.6%swing +1.0
Jessica Davis (ONP)7,494 votes,6.9%swing +3.9
Lisa Abbott (LC)5,243 votes,4.8%swing +4.8
Robert Thurley (IND)3,230 votes,3.0%swing +3.0
Peter Nicholes (FF)2,497 votes,2.3%swing +2.3
Andrew Gatley (F|PR)981 votes,0.9%swing +0.9
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
57.1%42.9%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 7.1 pts (Labor): fairly safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jodie Belyea | Australian Labor Party | 41,792 | 38.28% | -2.2 pts |
| Nathan Conroy | Liberal | 35,288 | 32.32% | +0.6 pts |
| Matt Maber | The Greens | 12,649 | 11.59% | +1.0 pts |
| Jessica Davis | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 7,494 | 6.86% | +3.9 pts |
| Lisa Abbott | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,243 | 4.80% | +4.8 pts |
| Robert Thurley | Independent | 3,230 | 2.96% | +3.0 pts |
| Peter Nicholes | Family First | 2,497 | 2.29% | +2.3 pts |
| Andrew Gatley | FUSION | Planet Rescue | Whistleblower Protection | Innovation | 981 | 0.90% | +0.9 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission