Won at the 2025 federal election
LNP
Ted O'Brien, re-elected
Margin after preferences
3.2 pts
A marginal seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far
Next federal election
Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.
No candidates have been announced for Fairfax yet.
Sitting member
Ted O'Brien (Liberal Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.
Where Fairfax is
2025 federal election result
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
2025 federal election result, first preferences
Naomi McQueen (ALP)27,607 votes,24.9%swing +3.0
Francine Wiig (IND)13,085 votes,11.8%swing +11.8
Sue Etheridge (GRN)11,351 votes,10.2%swing −3.1
Beatrice Marsh (ONP)8,232 votes,7.4%swing +0.8
Rhys Sanderson (FF)3,816 votes,3.4%swing +3.4
Gregory Ryzy (TP)3,063 votes,2.8%swing +2.8
Paul McKeown (IND)1,819 votes,1.6%swing +1.6
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
53.2%46.8%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 3.2 pts (LNP): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted O'Brien | LNP | 42,075 | 37.89% | -7.0 pts |
| Naomi McQueen | Australian Labor Party | 27,607 | 24.86% | +3.0 pts |
| Francine Wiig | Independent | 13,085 | 11.78% | +11.8 pts |
| Sue Etheridge | The Greens | 11,351 | 10.22% | -3.1 pts |
| Beatrice Marsh | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 8,232 | 7.41% | +0.8 pts |
| Rhys Sanderson | Family First | 3,816 | 3.44% | +3.4 pts |
| Gregory Ryzy | Trumpet of Patriots | 3,063 | 2.76% | +2.8 pts |
| Paul McKeown | Independent | 1,819 | 1.64% | +1.6 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission