Federal electorate · House of Representatives · VIC
Flinders
Current member
Zoe McKenzie, Liberal Party
Won at the 2025 federal election
Liberal
Zoe McKenzie, re-elected
Margin after preferences
2.3 pts
A marginal seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far
Next federal election
Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.
No candidates have been announced for Flinders yet.
Sitting member
Zoe McKenzie (Liberal Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.
Where Flinders is
2025 federal election result
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
2025 federal election result, first preferences
Sarah Race (ALP)25,622 votes,22.3%swing −0.6
Ben Smith (IND)24,406 votes,21.2%swing +21.2
Adam Frogley (GRN)7,305 votes,6.4%swing −3.1
Mike Brown (ONP)6,091 votes,5.3%swing +2.0
Jason Smart (TP)3,144 votes,2.7%swing +2.3
Joseph Toscano (IND)980 votes,0.8%swing +0.8
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
52.3%47.7%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 2.3 pts (Liberal): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoe McKenzie | Liberal | 47,375 | 41.22% | -2.1 pts |
| Sarah Race | Australian Labor Party | 25,622 | 22.29% | -0.6 pts |
| Ben Smith | Independent | 24,406 | 21.24% | +21.2 pts |
| Adam Frogley | The Greens | 7,305 | 6.36% | -3.1 pts |
| Mike Brown | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 6,091 | 5.30% | +2.0 pts |
| Jason Smart | Trumpet of Patriots | 3,144 | 2.74% | +2.3 pts |
| Joseph Toscano | Independent | 980 | 0.85% | +0.8 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission