Won at the 2025 federal election
Nationals
Alison Penfold, gained the seat
Margin after preferences
9.8 pts
A fairly safe seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far
Next federal election
Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.
No candidates have been announced for Lyne yet.
Sitting member
Alison Penfold (National Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.
Where Lyne is
2025 federal election result
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
2025 federal election result, first preferences
Digby Wilson (ALP)21,667 votes,19.8%swing −1.7
Jeremy Miller (IND)16,943 votes,15.5%swing +15.5
Colin Hughes (ONP)9,174 votes,8.4%swing +0.5
Tom Ferrier (GRN)6,977 votes,6.4%swing −1.5
Keys Manley (LC)5,995 votes,5.5%swing +5.5
Mark Alexander Hornshaw (LBT)4,165 votes,3.8%swing +3.8
Cathy Charsley (TP)2,690 votes,2.5%swing +2.5
David Masters (FF)1,662 votes,1.5%swing +1.5
Stephen John Burke (C)448 votes,0.4%swing +0.4
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
59.8%40.2%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 9.8 pts (Nationals): fairly safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Penfold | The Nationals | 39,629 | 36.24% | -7.3 pts |
| Digby Wilson | Labor | 21,667 | 19.81% | -1.7 pts |
| Jeremy Miller | Independent | 16,943 | 15.49% | +15.5 pts |
| Colin Hughes | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 9,174 | 8.39% | +0.5 pts |
| Tom Ferrier | The Greens | 6,977 | 6.38% | -1.5 pts |
| Keys Manley | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,995 | 5.48% | +5.5 pts |
| Mark Alexander Hornshaw | Libertarian | 4,165 | 3.81% | +3.8 pts |
| Cathy Charsley | Trumpet of Patriots | 2,690 | 2.46% | +2.5 pts |
| David Masters | Family First | 1,662 | 1.52% | +1.5 pts |
| Stephen John Burke | Citizens Party | 448 | 0.41% | +0.4 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission