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Political Tracker

Federal electorate · House of Representatives · NSW

Mackellar

Current member

Sophie Scamps, Independent

Won at the 2025 federal election
Independent
Sophie Scamps, re-elected
Margin after preferences
5.7 pts
A marginal seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far

Next federal election

Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.

No candidates have been announced for Mackellar yet.

Sitting member

Sophie Scamps (Independent) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.

Where Mackellar is

Boundary used at the 2025 federal election, from the ABS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

2025 federal election result

Bar colours show each candidate's party.

First preferences

2025 federal election result, first preferences

Sophie Scamps (IND)Elected42,482 votes,38.0%
James Brown (LIB)39,647 votes,35.5%
Jeffrey Quinn (ALP)13,499 votes,12.1%
Ethan Hrnjak (GRN)6,858 votes,6.1%
Brad Hayman (ONP)2,825 votes,2.5%
Lisa Cotton (IND)2,297 votes,2.0%
Justin Addison (LBT)1,949 votes,1.7%
Amber Robertson (TP)1,588 votes,1.4%
Mandeep Singh (IND)702 votes,0.6%

Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.

After preferences (two-candidate preferred)

55.7%44.3%
Sophie Scamps (IND)James Brown (LIB)

The vertical line marks 50%.

Margin 5.7 pts (Independent): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.

Results as a table
CandidatePartyVotesFirst pref.Swing
Sophie ScampsIndependent42,48237.98%+4.3 pts
James BrownLiberal39,64735.45%-5.1 pts
Jeffrey QuinnLabor13,49912.07%+3.7 pts
Ethan HrnjakThe Greens6,8586.13%-0.2 pts
Brad HaymanPauline Hanson's One Nation2,8252.53%-0.1 pts
Lisa CottonIndependent2,2972.05%+2.0 pts
Justin AddisonLibertarian1,9491.74%+1.7 pts
Amber RobertsonTrumpet of Patriots1,5881.42%+1.4 pts
Mandeep SinghIndependent7020.63%+0.6 pts

Source: Australian Electoral Commission