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Political Tracker

Federal electorate · House of Representatives · NSW

Mitchell

Current member

Alex Hawke, Liberal Party

Won at the 2025 federal election
Liberal
Alex Hawke, re-elected
Margin after preferences
3.8 pts
A marginal seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far

Next federal election

Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.

No candidates have been announced for Mitchell yet.

Sitting member

Alex Hawke (Liberal Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.

Where Mitchell is

Boundary used at the 2025 federal election, from the ABS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

2025 federal election result

Bar colours show each candidate's party.

First preferences

2025 federal election result, first preferences

Alex Hawke (LIB)Elected50,758 votes,46.3%
Dilvan Bircan (ALP)36,396 votes,33.2%
Ben Speechly (GRN)15,044 votes,13.7%
Brendan McCreanor (ONP)4,680 votes,4.3%
Mark Crocker (TP)2,675 votes,2.4%

Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.

After preferences (two-candidate preferred)

53.8%46.2%
Alex Hawke (LIB)Dilvan Bircan (ALP)

The vertical line marks 50%.

Margin 3.8 pts (Liberal): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.

Results as a table
CandidatePartyVotesFirst pref.Swing
Alex HawkeLiberal50,75846.33%-6.1 pts
Dilvan BircanLabor36,39633.22%+7.6 pts
Ben SpeechlyThe Greens15,04413.73%+1.8 pts
Brendan McCreanorPauline Hanson's One Nation4,6804.27%+1.3 pts
Mark CrockerTrumpet of Patriots2,6752.44%+2.4 pts

Source: Australian Electoral Commission