Won at the 2025 federal election
Liberal
Mary Aldred, gained the seat
Margin after preferences
4.1 pts
A marginal seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far
Next federal election
Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.
No candidates have been announced for Monash yet.
Sitting member
Mary Aldred (Liberal Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.
Where Monash is
2025 federal election result
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
2025 federal election result, first preferences
Tully Fletcher (ALP)20,804 votes,20.3%swing −5.3
Deb Leonard (IND)17,529 votes,17.1%swing +6.4
Kuljeet Kaur Robinson (ONP)8,166 votes,8.0%swing +0.4
Terence Steele (GRN)5,062 votes,4.9%swing −4.9
David O'Reilly (LC)3,521 votes,3.4%swing +3.4
Alex Wehbe (TP)2,608 votes,2.5%swing +1.8
Geoff Dethlefs (FF)1,801 votes,1.8%swing +1.8
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
54.1%45.9%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 4.1 pts (Liberal): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Aldred | Liberal | 32,579 | 31.78% | -6.0 pts |
| Tully Fletcher | Australian Labor Party | 20,804 | 20.29% | -5.3 pts |
| Deb Leonard | Independent | 17,529 | 17.10% | +6.4 pts |
| Russell Broadbent | Independent | 10,450 | 10.19% | +10.2 pts |
| Kuljeet Kaur Robinson | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 8,166 | 7.97% | +0.4 pts |
| Terence Steele | The Greens | 5,062 | 4.94% | -4.9 pts |
| David O'Reilly | Legalise Cannabis Party | 3,521 | 3.43% | +3.4 pts |
| Alex Wehbe | Trumpet of Patriots | 2,608 | 2.54% | +1.8 pts |
| Geoff Dethlefs | Family First | 1,801 | 1.76% | +1.8 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission