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Political Tracker

Federal electorate · House of Representatives · VIC

Nicholls

Current member

Sam Birrell, National Party

Won at the 2025 federal election
Nationals
Sam Birrell, re-elected
Margin after preferences
14.4 pts
A safe seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far

Next federal election

Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.

No candidates have been announced for Nicholls yet.

Sitting member

Sam Birrell (National Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.

Where Nicholls is

Boundary used at the 2025 federal election, from the ABS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

2025 federal election result

Bar colours show each candidate's party.

First preferences

2025 federal election result, first preferences

Sam Birrell (NAT)Elected48,762 votes,46.2%
Kim Travers (ALP)25,560 votes,24.2%
Aaron Tyrrell (ONP)12,095 votes,11.5%
Shelby Eade (GRN)8,235 votes,7.8%
Glenn Francis Floyd (TP)4,999 votes,4.7%
Paul Edward Bachelor (FF)4,717 votes,4.5%
Jeff Davy (C)1,082 votes,1.0%

Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.

After preferences (two-candidate preferred)

64.4%35.6%
Sam Birrell (NAT)Kim Travers (ALP)

The vertical line marks 50%.

Margin 14.4 pts (Nationals): safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.

Results as a table
CandidatePartyVotesFirst pref.Swing
Sam BirrellThe Nationals48,76246.24%+21.9 pts
Kim TraversAustralian Labor Party25,56024.24%+11.1 pts
Aaron TyrrellPauline Hanson's One Nation12,09511.47%+4.9 pts
Shelby EadeThe Greens8,2357.81%+4.1 pts
Glenn Francis FloydTrumpet of Patriots4,9994.74%+4.2 pts
Paul Edward BachelorFamily First4,7174.47%+4.5 pts
Jeff DavyCitizens Party1,0821.03%+0.7 pts

Source: Australian Electoral Commission