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Political Tracker

Federal electorate · House of Representatives · NSW

Paterson

Current member

Meryl Swanson, Australian Labor Party

Won at the 2025 federal election
Labor
Meryl Swanson, re-elected
Margin after preferences
6.9 pts
A fairly safe seat
Announced candidates, next election
0
None with a source so far

Next federal election

Candidates publicly announced or preselected so far.

No candidates have been announced for Paterson yet.

Sitting member

Meryl Swanson (Australian Labor Party) holds the seat, but no source yet confirms they'll recontest it, so they aren't counted above.

Where Paterson is

Boundary used at the 2025 federal election, from the ABS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

2025 federal election result

Bar colours show each candidate's party.

First preferences

2025 federal election result, first preferences

Meryl Swanson (ALP)Elected40,290 votes,37.1%
Laurence Antcliff (LIB)29,602 votes,27.2%
Philip Penfold (IND)10,565 votes,9.7%
Arnon Wither (ONP)8,254 votes,7.6%
Paul Johns (GRN)8,219 votes,7.6%
Daniel Dryden (LC)4,223 votes,3.9%
Peter N Arena (TP)2,766 votes,2.5%
Sandra Lyn Briggs (FF)2,205 votes,2.0%
Rod Holding (IND)1,360 votes,1.3%
April Maree Scott (IND)1,220 votes,1.1%

Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.

After preferences (two-candidate preferred)

56.9%43.1%
Meryl Swanson (ALP)Laurence Antcliff (LIB)

The vertical line marks 50%.

Margin 6.9 pts (Labor): fairly safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.

Results as a table
CandidatePartyVotesFirst pref.Swing
Meryl SwansonLabor40,29037.06%-3.0 pts
Laurence AntcliffLiberal29,60227.23%-10.3 pts
Philip PenfoldIndependent10,5659.72%+9.7 pts
Arnon WitherPauline Hanson's One Nation8,2547.59%-0.3 pts
Paul JohnsThe Greens8,2197.56%-0.1 pts
Daniel DrydenLegalise Cannabis Party4,2233.88%+3.9 pts
Peter N ArenaTrumpet of Patriots2,7662.54%+2.5 pts
Sandra Lyn BriggsFamily First2,2052.03%+2.0 pts
Rod HoldingIndependent1,3601.25%+1.3 pts
April Maree ScottIndependent1,2201.12%+1.1 pts

Source: Australian Electoral Commission