Federal Parliament · House of Representatives
Shayne Neumann
Member for Blair · Australian Labor Party · QLD
Photo: State of Queensland (Queensland Police Service), CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
.jpg){kind=link}
First preferences
36.6%
42,825 votes · +1.6 pts swing
After preferences
55.7%
Against Carl Mutzelburg (LNP)
Winning margin
5.7 pts
A marginal seat
How Blair voted · 2025 federal election
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
How Blair voted · 2025 federal election, first preferences
Carl Mutzelburg (LNP)31,797 votes,27.2%swing −1.7
Paul Toner (GRN)12,104 votes,10.3%swing −2.2
Brendan Kross (ONP)11,344 votes,9.7%swing −0.3
Anthony Hopkins (LC)5,353 votes,4.6%swing +4.6
Kathryn Chadwick (GRPF)4,421 votes,3.8%swing +3.8
Edward McDonald (TP)3,769 votes,3.2%swing +3.2
John Frederick Purdon (FF)2,334 votes,2.0%swing +2.0
Angela Lowery (AJ)1,874 votes,1.6%swing −0.9
Anthony Bull (LBT)1,132 votes,1.0%swing +1.0
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
55.7%44.3%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 5.7 pts (Labor): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne Neumann | Australian Labor Party | 42,825 | 36.62% | +1.6 pts |
| Carl Mutzelburg | LNP | 31,797 | 27.19% | -1.7 pts |
| Paul Toner | The Greens | 12,104 | 10.35% | -2.2 pts |
| Brendan Kross | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 11,344 | 9.70% | -0.3 pts |
| Anthony Hopkins | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,353 | 4.58% | +4.6 pts |
| Kathryn Chadwick | Gerard Rennick People First | 4,421 | 3.78% | +3.8 pts |
| Edward McDonald | Trumpet of Patriots | 3,769 | 3.22% | +3.2 pts |
| John Frederick Purdon | Family First | 2,334 | 2.00% | +2.0 pts |
| Angela Lowery | Animal Justice Party | 1,874 | 1.60% | -0.9 pts |
| Anthony Bull | Libertarian | 1,132 | 0.97% | +1.0 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission