Federal Parliament · House of Representatives
Pat Conaghan
Member for Cowper · National Party · NSW
Shadow Assistant Treasurer · since 28 May 2025Shadow Minister for Financial Services · since 28 May 2025
Photo: City of Coffs Harbour, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons
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First preferences
37.9%
40,836 votes · -1.6 pts swing
After preferences
52.5%
Against Caz Heise (Independent)
Winning margin
2.5 pts
A marginal seat
How Cowper voted · 2025 federal election
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
How Cowper voted · 2025 federal election, first preferences
Caz Heise (IND)31,616 votes,29.4%swing +3.2
Greg Vigors (ALP)12,713 votes,11.8%swing −2.2
Chris Walsh (ONP)6,856 votes,6.4%swing −1.8
Megan Mathew (LC)5,210 votes,4.8%swing +4.8
Wendy Firefly (GRN)4,552 votes,4.2%swing −1.6
Peter Jackel (FF)1,851 votes,1.7%swing +1.7
Geoffrey Shannon (TP)1,551 votes,1.4%swing +1.4
Paul Templeton (LBT)1,403 votes,1.3%swing +1.3
Zeke Daley (IND)892 votes,0.8%swing +0.8
Geoffrey Marlow (F|PR)255 votes,0.2%swing +0.2
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
52.5%47.5%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 2.5 pts (Nationals): marginal by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Conaghan | The Nationals | 40,836 | 37.90% | -1.6 pts |
| Caz Heise | Independent | 31,616 | 29.35% | +3.2 pts |
| Greg Vigors | Labor | 12,713 | 11.80% | -2.2 pts |
| Chris Walsh | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 6,856 | 6.36% | -1.8 pts |
| Megan Mathew | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,210 | 4.84% | +4.8 pts |
| Wendy Firefly | The Greens | 4,552 | 4.23% | -1.6 pts |
| Peter Jackel | Family First | 1,851 | 1.72% | +1.7 pts |
| Geoffrey Shannon | Trumpet of Patriots | 1,551 | 1.44% | +1.4 pts |
| Paul Templeton | Libertarian | 1,403 | 1.30% | +1.3 pts |
| Zeke Daley | Independent | 892 | 0.83% | +0.8 pts |
| Geoffrey Marlow | FUSION | Planet Rescue | Whistleblower Protection | Innovation | 255 | 0.24% | +0.2 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission