Federal Parliament · House of Representatives
Jodie Belyea
Member for Dunkley · Australian Labor Party · VIC
Photo: Srnagak, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
First preferences
38.3%
41,792 votes · -2.2 pts swing
After preferences
57.1%
Against Nathan Conroy (Liberal)
Winning margin
7.1 pts
A fairly safe seat
How Dunkley voted · 2025 federal election
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
How Dunkley voted · 2025 federal election, first preferences
Nathan Conroy (LIB)35,288 votes,32.3%swing +0.6
Matt Maber (GRN)12,649 votes,11.6%swing +1.0
Jessica Davis (ONP)7,494 votes,6.9%swing +3.9
Lisa Abbott (LC)5,243 votes,4.8%swing +4.8
Robert Thurley (IND)3,230 votes,3.0%swing +3.0
Peter Nicholes (FF)2,497 votes,2.3%swing +2.3
Andrew Gatley (F|PR)981 votes,0.9%swing +0.9
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
57.1%42.9%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 7.1 pts (Labor): fairly safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jodie Belyea | Australian Labor Party | 41,792 | 38.28% | -2.2 pts |
| Nathan Conroy | Liberal | 35,288 | 32.32% | +0.6 pts |
| Matt Maber | The Greens | 12,649 | 11.59% | +1.0 pts |
| Jessica Davis | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 7,494 | 6.86% | +3.9 pts |
| Lisa Abbott | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,243 | 4.80% | +4.8 pts |
| Robert Thurley | Independent | 3,230 | 2.96% | +3.0 pts |
| Peter Nicholes | Family First | 2,497 | 2.29% | +2.3 pts |
| Andrew Gatley | FUSION | Planet Rescue | Whistleblower Protection | Innovation | 981 | 0.90% | +0.9 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission