Federal Parliament · House of Representatives
Alison Penfold
Member for Lyne · National Party · NSW
First preferences
36.2%
39,629 votes · -7.3 pts swing
After preferences
59.8%
Against Digby Wilson (Labor)
Winning margin
9.8 pts
A fairly safe seat
How Lyne voted · 2025 federal election
Bar colours show each candidate's party.
First preferences
How Lyne voted · 2025 federal election, first preferences
Digby Wilson (ALP)21,667 votes,19.8%swing −1.7
Jeremy Miller (IND)16,943 votes,15.5%swing +15.5
Colin Hughes (ONP)9,174 votes,8.4%swing +0.5
Tom Ferrier (GRN)6,977 votes,6.4%swing −1.5
Keys Manley (LC)5,995 votes,5.5%swing +5.5
Mark Alexander Hornshaw (LBT)4,165 votes,3.8%swing +3.8
Cathy Charsley (TP)2,690 votes,2.5%swing +2.5
David Masters (FF)1,662 votes,1.5%swing +1.5
Stephen John Burke (C)448 votes,0.4%swing +0.4
Bars show each candidate's share of formal first-preference votes on a 0–100% scale. Swing is the change in share, in percentage points, as published by the AEC.
After preferences (two-candidate preferred)
59.8%40.2%
The vertical line marks 50%.
Margin 9.8 pts (Nationals): fairly safe by the AEC's thresholds (under 6 points marginal, 6–10 fairly safe, over 10 safe). This describes this result, not a forecast.
Results as a table
| Candidate | Party | Votes | First pref. | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alison Penfold | The Nationals | 39,629 | 36.24% | -7.3 pts |
| Digby Wilson | Labor | 21,667 | 19.81% | -1.7 pts |
| Jeremy Miller | Independent | 16,943 | 15.49% | +15.5 pts |
| Colin Hughes | Pauline Hanson's One Nation | 9,174 | 8.39% | +0.5 pts |
| Tom Ferrier | The Greens | 6,977 | 6.38% | -1.5 pts |
| Keys Manley | Legalise Cannabis Party | 5,995 | 5.48% | +5.5 pts |
| Mark Alexander Hornshaw | Libertarian | 4,165 | 3.81% | +3.8 pts |
| Cathy Charsley | Trumpet of Patriots | 2,690 | 2.46% | +2.5 pts |
| David Masters | Family First | 1,662 | 1.52% | +1.5 pts |
| Stephen John Burke | Citizens Party | 448 | 0.41% | +0.4 pts |
Source: Australian Electoral Commission